BJ-EV

Blackjack Card Counting EV Calculator

Key Metrics
Player Edge
+1.430%
Base house edge: -0.570%
Hourly EV
$107.59
Avg bet: $94.06
Risk of Ruin
1.01%
Low risk
Heat Index
High
Casino detection risk
Advanced Analytics
EV / 100 Hands
$134.49
SD / 100 Hands
$1081.69
N0
6,469
~3 months
SCORE
0.99
Bankroll Management
Kelly Optimal
$216
Full Kelly bet
Half Kelly
$108
Recommended bet
Required BR
$13031
For target RoR
Time to 2x
186 hrs
~5 weeks
Player Edge by True Count
True Count Distribution
Bet Ramp (Units)
Edge vs Penetration
True Count Breakdown
TCEdge %Freq %BetEV/Hand
-5-3.070%5.0%$25$-0.768
-4-2.570%5.2%$25$-0.643
-3-2.070%5.4%$25$-0.518
-2-1.570%5.5%$25$-0.393
-1-1.070%5.6%$25$-0.268
+0-0.570%5.6%$25$-0.143
+1-0.070%5.6%$50$-0.035
+2+0.430%5.5%$100+$0.430
+3+0.930%5.4%$150+$1.395
+4+1.430%5.2%$200+$2.860
+5+1.930%5.0%$250+$4.825
+6+2.430%4.7%$300+$7.290
+7+2.930%4.4%$300+$8.790
+8+3.430%4.1%$300+$10.290

Disclaimer: This calculator is for educational and informational purposes only. Gambling involves substantial risk of financial loss. Card counting is not illegal but may result in being barred from casinos. No guarantee of profit is expressed or implied. Past statistical performance does not guarantee future results. All calculations are theoretical approximations based on mathematical models.